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GOLD
MARKET AND PRICE 1800-2007 |
One
of the oldest civilisations known to man, the Sumerians of
Mesopotamia, who lived in what is modern-day Iran and Iraq,
first used gold as sacred, ornamental, and decorative instruments
in the fifth millennium B.C. Around the same period, the early
Egyptians —the richest gold-producing civilisation of
the ancient world — began the art of gold refining.
Like the Sumerians, the Egyptians used gold primarily for
personal adornment, rather than for monetary purposes, although
the kings of the fourth to sixth dynasties (c. 2700 - 2270
B.C.) did issue some gold coins. The first large-scale, private
issuance of pure gold coins was under King Croesus (560-546
B.C.), the ruler of ancient Lydia, modern-day western Turkey.
Stamped with his royal emblem of the facing heads of a lion
and a bull, these first known coins eventually became the
standard of exchange for worldwide trade and commerce.
|
Gold
is traditionally weighed in Troy Ounces (31.1035 grammes).
It has a specific gravity of 19.3, meaning that it is 19.3
times heavier than water. So gold weighs 19.3 kilograms per
litre. With the density of gold at 19.32 g/cm3, a troy ounce
of gold would have a volume of 1.64 cm3. A tonne of gold would
therefore have a volume of 51, 760 cm3, which would be equivalent
to a cube of side 37.27cm (Approx. 1' 3''). At the end of
2003, Gold Field Mineral Services (GFMS) estimated that above-ground
stocks represented a total volume of approximately 150,500
tonnes, of which 61% had been mined since 1950. All the gold
ever mined would form a cube measuring only 19m on each side.
This cube would, for example, easily fit under the Eiffel
Tower in Paris.
|
 |
The
proportion of gold in jewellery is measured on the carat (or
karat) scale. The word carat comes from the carob seed, which
was originally used to balance scales in Oriental bazaars.
Pure gold is designated 24 carat, which compares with the
"fineness" by which bar gold is defined. |
| Pure
gold Gold alloys |
Caratage |
Fineness |
%
Gold |
| 24 |
1000 |
100 |
| 22 |
916.7 |
91.67 |
| 18 |
750 |
75 |
| 14 |
583.3 |
58.3 |
| 10 |
416.7 |
41.67 |
| 9 |
375 |
37.5 |
|
| The most widely used alloys for jewellery in Europe
are 18 and 14 carat, although 9 carat is popular in the UK.
Portugal has a unique designation of 19.2 carats. In the United
States 14 carat predominates, with some 10 carat. In the Middle
East, India and South East Asia, jewellery is traditionally
22 carat (sometimes even 23 carat). In China, Hong Kong and
some other parts of Asia, "chuk kam" or pure gold
jewellery of 990 fineness (almost 24 carat) is popular. |
| The
gold stored at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York
is secured in a most unusual vault. It rests on the
bedrock of Manhattan Island — one of the few foundations
considered adequate to support the weight of the vault,
its door, and the gold inside — 80 feet below
street level and 50 feet below sea level.
In the middle of 1997, the Fed’s vault contained
roughly 269 million troy ounces of gold (1 troy oz.
is 1.1 times as heavy as the avoirdupois ounce, with
which we are more familiar), representing 25 to 30 percent
of the world’s official monetary gold reserves.
At the time, the vault gold’s value was $11 billion
at the official U.S. Government price of $42.2222 per
troy ounce, or about $86 billion at the market price
of $319 an ounce. One of the vault’s gold bars
(approximately 27.4 pounds) is valued at a $319 market
price, about $127,000. |
|
|
The "gold specie" standard called
for fixed exchange rates, with parities set for participating
currencies in terms of gold, and provided that any paper currency
could on demand be exchanged for gold specie at the central
bank of issue. The system was designed to bring automatic
adjustment in case of external deficits or surpluses in transactions
between countries, that is, balance of payments imbalances.
The underlying concept was that any deficit country would
have to surrender gold to cover its deficit, with the result
that the volume of its money would be reduced, leading to
lower prices, while the influx of that gold into the surplus
country would expand the volume of that country’s money
and lead to higher prices.
In
the foreign exchange market, under the gold standard, exchange
rates could, in principle, fluctuate only within very narrow
limits determined by the costs of shipping and insuring gold.
Thus, if U.S. residents accumulated pounds sterling as a result
of exporting more goods and services to Britain than they
imported and being paid in pounds for the excess, the U.S.
holders of sterling had the option of converting pounds into
gold at par value at the Bank of England and shipping the
gold back to New York. During the 1880-1914 period, the "mint
parity" between the U.S. dollar and sterling was approximately
$4.87, based on a U.S. official gold price of $20.67 per ounce
and a U.K. official gold price of £ 4.24 per ounce.
The sterling/dollar exchange rate would not fluctuate beyond
the "gold points"—about three cents above
and below the mint parity—which represented the cost
of shipping and insuring gold, since at any exchange rate
outside the gold points it would be possible to gain an arbitrage
profit by converting currency into gold and shipping the gold
to the other centre. While some gold transfers actually took
place under this system, such shipments frequently were avoided
by monetary policy moves. In the example above, the U.K. might
raise interest rates to attract capital inflows—i.e.,
increase the demand for sterling—and counterbalance
the financial impact of the import excess. Higher interest
rates also would have a deflationary effect in the deficit
country.
This
automatic operation of the balance of payments adjustment
process under the gold standard required, in theory, that
in their financial policies, participating countries give
an absolute priority to external adjustment over domestic
objectives. This meant that in any periods of conflict between
domestic and external objectives, policy tools might not be
available to be used for domestic problems of recession, unemployment,
or inflation. But the philosophy widely held in those pre-Keynesian
times was that economies would tend naturally toward reasonably
high levels of employment and reasonable price stability without
such government policy actions.
For
a forty-year period there were no changes in the exchange
rates of the United States, UK, Germany, and France (though
the same did not hold for a number of other countries). There
were few barriers to gold shipments and few capital controls
in the major countries. Capital flows generally seem to have
played a stabilising, rather than destabilising, role. After
the outbreak of the First World War, one combatant country
after another suspended gold convertibility, and floating
exchange rates prevailed. The United States, which entered
the war late, maintained gold convertibility, but the dollar
effectively floated against the other currencies, which were
no longer convertible into dollars. After the war, and in
the early and mid-twenties, many exchange rates fluctuated
sharply. Most currencies experienced substantial devaluations
against the dollar; the U.S. currency had greatly improved
its competitive strength over European currencies during the
war, in line with the strengthening of the relative position
of the U.S. economy.
In
Europe, especially in the UK, there was a widespread desire
to return to the stability of the gold standard, and a worry
about the growing attractiveness of the dollar—which
was convertible into gold—and of dollar-denominated
assets. Following a disastrous five years back on the gold
standard, the UK abandoned it in 1931, and others followed
over the next few years. In 1933, US President Franklin Roosevelt
imposed a ban on U.S. citizens’ buying, selling, or
owning gold. While the U.S. Government continued to sell gold
to foreign central banks and government institutions, the
ban prevented hoarders from profiting after Congress devalued
the dollar (in terms of gold) in January 1934. This action
raised the official price of gold by more than 65 percent
(from $20.67 to $35 per troy ounce). Gold coins and certificates
considered collectors’ items were exempt from the prohibition,
and artistic and industrial users of gold were permitted to
deal in the metal under a special Treasury license. Gold at
$35 set off a mining boom. US output rose from 2.6 m.oz in
1933 to 4.4 m.oz in 1936, and peaked at 6.0 m.oz in 1940 (not
equalled until 1988). Canada hit 5.5 m.oz in 1941 (best until
1991). World output up from 20 m.oz to 38.6 m.oz by 1940.
In
1971 President Richard Nixon ended US dollar convertibility
to gold and the central role of gold in world currency systems
ended. The dollar and gold floated and in January 1980 the
gold price hit a record of $850 per ounce against a background
of an international crisis arising from the Soviet invasion
of Afghanistan and the Islamic Revolution in Iran. In 2006
dollars, the all-time record price would be $2,100.
|
| Date |
High |
Low |
Close |
| 12/31/1800 |
19.3939 |
19.3939 |
19.3939 |
| 12/31/1801 |
19.3939 |
19.3939 |
19.3939 |
| 12/31/1802 |
19.3939 |
19.3939 |
19.3939 |
| 12/31/1803 |
19.3939 |
19.3939 |
19.3939 |
| 12/31/1804 |
19.3939 |
19.3939 |
19.3939 |
| 12/31/1805 |
19.3939 |
19.3939 |
19.3939 |
| 12/31/1806 |
19.3939 |
19.3939 |
19.3939 |
| 12/31/1807 |
19.3939 |
19.3939 |
19.3939 |
| 12/31/1808 |
19.3939 |
19.3939 |
19.3939 |
| 12/31/1809 |
19.3939 |
19.3939 |
19.3939 |
| 12/31/1810 |
19.3939 |
19.3939 |
19.3939 |
| 12/31/1811 |
19.3939 |
19.3939 |
19.3939 |
| 12/31/1812 |
19.3939 |
19.3939 |
19.3939 |
| 12/31/1813 |
19.3939 |
19.3939 |
19.3939 |
| 12/31/1814 |
21.79 |
19.3939 |
21.79 |
| 12/31/1815 |
23.07 |
19.78 |
22.16 |
| 12/31/1816 |
22.16 |
19.74 |
19.84 |
| 12/31/1817 |
19.89 |
19.3939 |
19.3939 |
| 12/31/1818 |
19.3939 |
19.3939 |
19.3939 |
| 12/31/1819 |
19.3939 |
19.3939 |
19.3939 |
| 12/31/1820 |
19.3939 |
19.3939 |
19.3939 |
| 12/31/1821 |
19.3939 |
19.3939 |
19.3939 |
| 12/31/1822 |
19.3939 |
19.3939 |
19.3939 |
| 12/31/1823 |
19.3939 |
19.3939 |
19.3939 |
| 12/31/1824 |
19.3939 |
19.3939 |
19.3939 |
| 12/31/1825 |
19.3939 |
19.3939 |
19.3939 |
| 12/31/1826 |
19.3939 |
19.3939 |
19.3939 |
| 12/31/1827 |
19.3939 |
19.3939 |
19.3939 |
| 12/31/1828 |
19.3939 |
19.3939 |
19.3939 |
| 12/31/1829 |
19.3939 |
19.3939 |
19.3939 |
| 12/31/1830 |
19.3939 |
19.3939 |
19.3939 |
| 12/31/1831 |
19.3939 |
19.3939 |
19.3939 |
| 12/31/1832 |
19.3939 |
19.3939 |
19.3939 |
| 12/31/1833 |
19.3939 |
19.3939 |
19.3939 |
| 12/31/1834 |
20.69 |
19.3939 |
20.69 |
| 12/31/1835 |
20.69 |
20.69 |
20.69 |
| 12/31/1836 |
20.69 |
20.69 |
20.69 |
| 12/31/1837 |
22.7 |
20.67 |
21.6 |
| 12/31/1838 |
21.52 |
20.69 |
20.73 |
| 12/31/1839 |
20.73 |
20.73 |
20.73 |
| 12/31/1840 |
20.73 |
20.73 |
20.73 |
| 12/31/1841 |
20.73 |
20.6718 |
20.6718 |
| 12/31/1842 |
20.73 |
20.6718 |
20.69 |
| 12/31/1843 |
20.71 |
20.67 |
20.6718 |
| 12/31/1844 |
20.6718 |
20.6718 |
20.6718 |
| 12/31/1845 |
20.6718 |
20.6718 |
20.6718 |
| 12/31/1846 |
20.6718 |
20.6718 |
20.6718 |
| 12/31/1847 |
20.6718 |
20.6718 |
20.6718 |
| 12/31/1848 |
20.6718 |
20.6718 |
20.6718 |
| 12/31/1849 |
20.6718 |
20.6718 |
20.6718 |
| 12/31/1850 |
20.6718 |
20.6718 |
20.6718 |
| 12/31/1851 |
20.6718 |
20.6718 |
20.6718 |
| 12/31/1852 |
20.6718 |
20.6718 |
20.6718 |
| 12/31/1853 |
20.6718 |
20.6718 |
20.6718 |
| 12/31/1854 |
20.6718 |
20.6718 |
20.6718 |
| 12/31/1855 |
20.6718 |
20.6718 |
20.6718 |
| 12/31/1856 |
20.6718 |
20.6718 |
20.6718 |
| 12/31/1857 |
20.81 |
20.6718 |
20.71 |
| 12/31/1858 |
20.6718 |
20.6718 |
20.6718 |
| 12/31/1859 |
20.6718 |
20.6718 |
20.6718 |
| 12/31/1860 |
20.6718 |
20.6718 |
20.6718 |
| 12/31/1861 |
20.6718 |
20.6718 |
20.6718 |
| 12/31/1862 |
27.542 |
20.774 |
27.542 |
| 12/31/1863 |
35.448 |
25.244 |
31.394 |
| 12/31/1864 |
57.052 |
31.313 |
46.356 |
| 12/31/1865 |
48.014 |
26.585 |
29.896 |
| 12/31/1866 |
32.191 |
25.838 |
27.49 |
| 12/31/1867 |
30.1 |
27.284 |
27.593 |
| 12/31/1868 |
30.695 |
27.309 |
27.827 |
| 12/31/1869 |
29.298 |
24.701 |
24.728 |
| 12/31/1870 |
25.217 |
22.737 |
22.893 |
| 12/31/1871 |
23.718 |
22.402 |
22.531 |
| 12/31/1872 |
23.849 |
22.426 |
23.149 |
| 12/31/1873 |
24.493 |
21.936 |
22.789 |
| 12/31/1874 |
23.537 |
22.531 |
23.123 |
| 12/31/1875 |
24.235 |
23.098 |
23.332 |
| 12/31/1876 |
23.693 |
22.116 |
22.116 |
| 12/31/1877 |
22.142 |
21.187 |
21.239 |
| 12/31/1878 |
21.239 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
| 12/31/1879 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
| 12/31/1880 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
| 12/31/1881 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
| 12/31/1882 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
| 12/31/1883 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
| 12/31/1884 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
| 12/31/1885 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
| 12/31/1886 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
| 12/31/1887 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
| 12/31/1888 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
| 12/31/1889 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
| 12/31/1890 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
| 12/31/1891 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
| 12/31/1892 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
| 12/31/1893 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
| 12/31/1894 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
| 12/31/1895 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
| 12/31/1896 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
| 12/31/1897 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
| 12/31/1898 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
| 12/31/1899 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
| 12/31/1900 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
| 12/31/1901 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
| 12/31/1902 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
| 12/31/1903 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
| 12/31/1904 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
| 12/31/1905 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
| 12/31/1906 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
| 12/31/1907 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
| 12/31/1908 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
| 12/31/1909 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
| 12/31/1910 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
| 12/31/1911 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
| 12/31/1912 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
| 12/31/1913 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
| 12/31/1914 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
| 12/31/1915 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
| 12/31/1916 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
| 12/31/1917 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
| 12/31/1918 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
| 12/31/1919 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
| 12/31/1920 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
| 12/31/1921 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
| 12/31/1922 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
| 12/31/1923 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
| 12/31/1924 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
| 12/31/1925 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
| 12/31/1926 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
| 12/31/1927 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
| 12/31/1928 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
| 12/31/1929 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
| 12/31/1930 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
| 12/31/1931 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
| 12/31/1932 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
20.67 |
| 12/31/1933 |
34.06 |
20.67 |
32.32 |
| 12/31/1934 |
35 |
34.06 |
35 |
| 12/31/1935 |
35 |
35 |
35 |
| 12/31/1936 |
35 |
35 |
35 |
| 12/31/1937 |
35 |
35 |
35 |
| 12/31/1938 |
35 |
35 |
35 |
| 12/31/1939 |
35 |
35 |
35 |
| 12/31/1940 |
34.75 |
34.1 |
34.5 |
| 12/31/1941 |
35.5 |
34.25 |
35.5 |
| 12/31/1942 |
36.25 |
35 |
35.5 |
| 12/31/1943 |
36.5 |
35.5 |
36.5 |
| 12/31/1944 |
36.75 |
36 |
36.25 |
| 12/31/1945 |
38.25 |
36.25 |
37.25 |
| | | |